Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 10.395692 11.876037 13.500556 15.416937 17.617680 20.068103 23.006589
2025-12-14 8.319607 10.237197 12.507770 15.399756 18.993152 23.321541 28.946717
2025-12-21 7.046168 9.136314 11.747767 15.260198 19.877076 25.761005 33.864742
2025-12-28 6.401829 8.668680 11.629954 15.797896 21.540288 29.213427 40.311493
2026-01-04 5.850737 8.225238 11.449215 16.169630 22.945611 32.382812 46.632039
2026-01-11 5.453255 7.928915 11.408899 16.688806 24.554401 35.928459 53.787424
2026-01-18 4.863891 7.286553 10.798701 16.299249 24.769825 37.437980 58.040921
2026-01-25 4.398395 6.773654 10.316704 16.031386 25.107148 39.112648 62.651478
2026-02-01 4.002738 6.324748 9.881620 15.778455 25.417513 40.736080 67.289716
2026-02-08 3.656957 5.919146 9.471808 15.515809 25.667458 42.254548 71.860157
2026-02-15 3.353734 5.552981 9.088998 15.253527 25.877653 43.700216 76.408846
2026-02-22 3.259365 5.520388 9.242164 15.891260 27.650244 47.905834 86.136574
2026-03-01 3.093101 5.355236 9.164809 16.134806 28.775609 51.120717 94.469141
2026-03-08 2.896416 5.120404 8.947796 16.110913 29.417507 53.527696 101.545561
2026-03-15 2.699985 4.868690 8.678676 15.964875 29.813729 55.505972 107.979272
2026-03-22 2.627594 4.834006 8.791900 16.528417 31.579061 60.179238 120.109438
2026-03-29 2.535106 4.753849 8.813906 16.918046 33.039082 64.387419 131.717507
2026-04-05 2.469261 4.717821 8.913498 17.462241 34.844268 69.420354 145.513475
2026-04-12 2.288954 4.447450 8.546345 17.053908 34.697326 70.520104 151.113639
2026-04-19 2.139227 4.225372 8.255424 16.773145 34.783276 72.094324 157.876783
2026-04-26 2.003553 4.020961 7.983676 16.508042 34.875517 73.681199 164.810426
2026-05-03 1.877589 3.826801 7.717902 16.232763 34.919486 75.161594 171.637561
2026-05-10 1.761433 3.644294 7.462394 15.957876 34.938357 76.582521 178.456928